POLITICAL PROFILE 2000, 2004, & 2008 ELECTIONS
Tehama County in the 2000 election had approximately 55,000 residents compared to approximately 60,000 in the 2004 election. Our county had 26,838 registered voters with a 63.4% turnout for the 2000 election: 30,310 registered voters with a 77.87% turn-out in the 2004 election:31,261 registered voters with a 79.34%turn-out in the 2008 election. The Republican Party had a 442 vote majority over the Democrats in 2000, a 2652 majority in 2004 and a 3727 majority in 2008. Below is the breakdown of party voters and percentages:
2000 Voter Registration 2004 Voter Registration 2008 Voter Registration
PARTY
VOTERS PERCENT VOTERS PERCENT VOTERS PERCENT
REPUBLICAN
11406
42.50% 13458 44.40% 14105 45.12%
DEMOCRATS
10964
40.85% 10806 35.65% 10378 33.20%
MINOR PARTIES
4468
16.65% 6046 19.95% 6778 21.68%
American Independent 966
Green
62
Libertarian
206
Natural Law
11
Reform
83
Nonpartisan (DTS)
3140
During the 2000 election, the precinct voter turnout was 13,492 voters or 50.3% of the total voters. Absentee turnout was 3,525 voters or 13.1% of the total voters. The total turnout was 63.4% or 17,017voters.
During the 2004 election, the precinct voter turnout was 15,526 voters or 51.2% of the total voters. Absentee turnout was 8,078 or 26.7% of the total voters. The total turnout was 77.9% or 23,604 voters.
During the 2008 election, the precinct voter turnout was 11,203 voters or 35.84% of the total voters. Absentee turnout was 13,600 or 43.50% of the total voters. The total turnout was 79.34% or 24,803 voters.
The higher absentee turnout (from13.1% to 26.7% to 43.50%) is a clear signal that the Tehama County Republican Central Committee must reach these voters approximately a month before the actual election day, about the time they receive their absentee ballots in the mail. This increase in absentee voters is mostly because of the ability of any voter now being able to vote by mail without being handicapped as it was before. Clearly people like the convenience of voting by mail.
We have clearly been increasing the number of registered Republicans over the Democrats each year by an average of approximately 550 per year(2000 to 2004)and something like 250 per year from 2004 to 2008. We should not become complacence; however, since the decline to state (DTS) and minor parties have shown an increase of approximately 400 per year during the same time period. The Democrats have remained static and because of the John Kerry catastrophe actually lost voters. We actually helped voters switch from Democrat to Republican in the months just before the 2004 presidential election. The McCain candidacy and election in 2008 resulted in a loss of Republican membership increase.
The increase in the DTS and minor parties has not really affected the historical voting pattern that we have observed in the county. If you take the average of the President, U.S. Senator, Congressman, and State Assemblyman races in the 2004 election you will get a 64% Republican and a 34% Democrat average (2% minor party average). This seems to indicate that the Democrats only get their hard core base (~35%) and the Republicans pickup most of the DTS and minor party vote.
As the population increases in Tehama County because of the Del Web City and other developments, we must aggressively seek the Republicans out and make sure that they are registered and vote.
The County is divided into 5 supervisor districts, which are drawn to encompass approximately equal
populations in each district. The districts are shown
on the map at the bottom of this page.